Bookies are the best bet when looking for the election winner


2 – Bill Shorten: Bad action, more giraffe than
thoroughbred, and begins slowly; cuddled near the tail of
the field, a wise tactic, but finishes boldly.

3 – Clive Palmer: Tried over the course and distance
previously but hardly impressive: could need the run
again.

4 – Josh Frydenberg: Hope of a depleted outfit sadly
lacking in fillies and mares; scratched Julie Bishop, the
only weight-for-age performer in the string; shows
potential when most of his team are past their peak.

5 – Tony Abbott: Has the bone and muscle look that served
Tommy Smith horses so well. Responds to punishment but
beaten on a protest after his last success; at best on
home circuit.

6 – Dave Sharma: A boom colt with a promising future; a
similar type was omitted from the same stable; looks too
good to be true. Strong market move late.

7 – Michael McCormack: Tested by the class; best placed
at the picnics. Replacement for an erratic bush plugger
who would have done better with gear changes, including
a tongue tie.

8 – Chris Bowen: A dour stayer, lacking acceleration but
runs an honest race. Takes up a position near the lead and
doesn’t get rattled under fire.

9 – Tanya Plibersek: A stylish mare with a fluent action;
developed a habit of mouth-open exasperation at rival
claims; would do better in ear muffs.

10 – Pauline Hanson: Bold striding chestnut but wayward.
Always makes her presence felt but strikes interference
from her own pacemakers.

11- Zali Steggall: A world-class alpine skier and Olympian;
drops in grade but the front-running rival is a hurdle on the
sandy surface.

12 – Kerryn Phelps: Stays like a Melbourne Cup
contender; Won at debut and sniffing the more demanding
task here with delight.

And my selection?
Don’t worry about the polls: iffy like racehorse tipsters.
Note the odds bookmakers and Betfair are offering and
back the favourite.

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